Analysis

Cannon fodder or resistance? What awaits Belarus if Putin pushes in

Representative for Defense and National Security of the United Transitional Cabinet of Belarus, Vadzim Kabanchuk, at the
Representative for Defense and National Security of the United Transitional Cabinet of Belarus, Vadzim Kabanchuk, at the "Path to Freedom" forum in Kyiv, Ukraine. March 25, 2026. Photo: Anton Perapialitsa / Belsat / TVP

The Representative for Defense and National Security of the United Transitional Cabinet (UTC) of Belarus, Vadzim Kabanchuk, warns: the risk of Belarus being fully drawn into the Russian-Ukrainian war is gradually increasing. But what should Belarusians – both democratic forces and ordinary people in Belarus – do if the country is dragged into war? Is there a chance of a mutiny in the Belarusian army? On these and other questions – in a conversation with the UTC representative.