In March 2028, the Russian Federation, having concluded its war in Ukraine and seized 20% of its territory, initiates a rapid military operation to capture the city of Narva in Estonia. Alyaksandr Lukashenka fully supports Moscow in this conflict. This scenario is detailed in the book-script by German political scientist Carlo Masala titled "If Russia Wins", which has become a bestseller across Western Europe. The book places significant emphasis on Belarus, forecasting that Moscow intends to fully integrate the country into Russian territory by June 1, 2030.