Analysis

“2020 will not happen again.” Drakakhrust on Babaryka, his future role in the Belarusian opposition, and Belarusians’ expectations

img
Viktar Babaryka greets people who came to meet him in Warsaw, Poland, December 18, 2025. Photo: Volha Shukaila / Sopa Images / LightRocket via Getty Images

In 2020, Viktar Babaryka became a symbol of an alternative to Alyaksandr Lukashenka – so convincing that many of his supporters ended up voting for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya when he himself ended up behind bars. Today, after his release, the question of Babaryka's possible role has reappeared on the agenda. Why 2020 won't happen again, whether Viktar Babaryka still has the support of his supporters, how the logic of opposition politics has changed, and what illusions should be said goodbye to – this is what Radio Svaboda political observer Yury Drakakhrust thinks about in an interview with Belsat.