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Lukashenka’s 2026 forecast promises growth — reality suggests otherwise

A man inside a Technobank branch. Minsk, Belarus. February 7, 2021. Illustrative photo: Belsat
A man inside a Technobank branch. Minsk, Belarus. February 7, 2021. Illustrative photo: Belsat

Alyaksandr Lukashenka has approved Belarus’s official socioeconomic forecast for 2026, projecting GDP growth of 2.8%, a 4.8% rise in real household incomes, and inflation not exceeding 7%. Belsat asked economic analyst Andrei Makhouski whether these goals are realistic — or pure wishful thinking.